Prominent Pollster Nate Silver: Biden On Track To Lose To Trump, Dems Have ‘No Plans To Fix The Problems’ | Eastern North Carolina Now

    Publisher's Note: This post appears here courtesy of the The Daily Wire. The author of this post is Zach Jewell.

    Statistician and writer Nate Silver raised multiple concerns for President Joe Biden's re-election campaign on Monday, saying that Democrats appear to have no plans to address the issues.

    In his "Silver Bulletin" newsletter on Monday, the co-founder and former editor-in-chief of polling analysis site FiveThirtyEight wrote that his outlook on the potential rematch between 81-year-old Biden and former President Donald Trump, 77, has significantly changed since a year ago. Silver circled Biden's age and his refusal to sit down for big interviews, such as the traditional Super Bowl interview, as top concerns for his campaign.

    "If you'd asked me a year ago, I would have told you that Joe Biden was a reasonably clear favorite in the event of a rematch against Donald Trump," Silver began, adding later in his article that in recent months, "Biden's situation has become considerably worse."

    "If he were 10 years younger, he might still be a 65/35 favorite," Silver wrote. "But if his campaign is substantially encumbered by his age, he's probably the underdog."

    Silver's latest piece on Biden's vulnerability follows a newsletter he wrote in November when he suggested that for Democrats to win in 2024, the party should consider pushing a different candidate if Biden doesn't "run a normal campaign."

    "Personally, I crossed the rubicon in November, concluding that Biden should stand down if he wasn't going to be able to run a normal reelection campaign - meaning, things like conduct a Super Bowl interview," Silver wrote on Monday. "Yes, it's a huge risk and, yes, Biden can still win. But he's losing now and there's no plan to fix the problems other than hoping that the polls are wrong or that voters look at the race differently when they have more time to focus on it."

    Trump continues to lead the president in the national polling average, according to RealClearPolitics and FiveThirtyEight as Biden also faces low favorability ratings. Silver pointed to special counsel Robert Hur's report on Biden's handling of classified documents, which called the president a "well-meaning, elderly man with a poor memory."


    "Biden is probably a below-replacement-level candidate at this point because Americans have a lot of extremely rational concerns about the prospect of a Commander-in-Chief who would be 86 years old by the end of his second term," Silver wrote. "It is entirely reasonable to see this as disqualifying."

    "Biden needs to reassure the American public that he's capable of handling public appearances that aren't on easy mode. Or he needs to stand down," Silver added in a post on X. "Or he's probably going to lose to Trump."

poll#215

Under the cover of Covid, and now in the shadow of the infamous Election Irregularities of that fated 2020 presidential election, with current emerging alleged election fraud in Nevada and Pennsylvania inconveniently slipping into the public discourse, there is proved a colluded ongoing Election Interference in the nomination of the Republican candidate, the likes of which has never occurred in our Constitutional Republic's history, albeit, the question remains: Do you support the plain-sight Election Interference of the Democratic Socialist party, employing its minions in their Propagandistic Media, and their Two Tiered Justice System?

  No, I do not support Election Interference; I am a patriot unto our Constitution.

  Yes, I do support Election Interference; the alternative, Donald Trump, to this mentally diminished president is far worse.

  "What, me worry" if elections are rigged?

107 total vote(s)     What's your Opinion?

poll#214

Understanding that there are two firm positions concerning the Open Border Crises, but many realties regarding its current, and, or projected real impacts to the functioning, sustainability of this Constitutional Republic: What position below best represents what you know to be true regarding this impactful policy?

  The United States' must continue the Executive initiative of Open Borders until a Democratic Congress can codify full Demographic Inclusion by keeping the Biden /Harris Open Borders policy in place.

  Our United States' borders are sovereign just as are our self-governed citizens, where borders must be maintained, monitored and defended, which is the position of core Republicans.

  I am in favor of Open Borders to make my America more of a global community; however, the federal government must now fix problems that "Red State" governors have caused in our cities.

  I do NOT favor the Democratic Socialists' disruption of the cultural fabric of my Representative Republic, and there will be Treasonous Hell to Pay when the certain calamity begins in earnest.

204 total vote(s)     What's your Opinion?