More Signs Point Toward Contested Democratic Convention | Eastern North Carolina Now

Publisher's note: The author of this post is Mitch Kokai for the John Locke Foundation.

    Emily Larsen asks Washington Examiner readers to "do the math" when projecting the rest of the Democratic presidential contest.

  • It's a dream of political junkies and campaign reporters that hasn't happened since 1952 - a contested political convention. And it could happen this summer.
  • That's because the delegate slog ahead for 2020 Democrats gives them little incentive to drop out, since any one of six could stilll have a shot at nabbing the party's nomination at its national convention, set for Milwaukee, Wisconsin July 13-16.
  • Contests in Iowa and New Hampshire dramatically reshaped the historically crowded primary field and left a half-dozen candidates with an arguable pathway to the nomination.
  • They knocked former Vice President Joe Biden down from front-runner status and showed Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders to be a leader in the popular vote. Former South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg proved viability as a candidate by doing well in both contests and leads in Democratic National Convention nominating delegates. ...
  • ... FiveThirtyEight's primary forecast model, which attempts to use polls to predict delegate allocation in the primary cycle, finds that the two likeliest outcomes are a contested convention and Sanders winning the nomination, each with roughly 2-in-5 odds.
  • A candidate needs a majority of pledged delegates, at least 1,991 of the 3,979 available, allocated based on results in state primaries and conventions, in order to win the presidential nomination on the first ballot at the July convention.
  • If no candidate wins a majority, around 770 automatic "super delegates" made up of party leaders like DNC members and Democratic members of Congress are permitted to vote for whomever they wish on the second ballot, creating the possibility that a candidate who did not win the most pledged delegates wins the nomination.
  • In previous years, super delegates voted on the first ballot. But the rule was changed in an attempt to make a fairer process after complaints from far-left Sanders supporters in the fallout from the 2016 primary cycle.

Go Back


Leave a Guest Comment

Your Name or Alias
Your Email Address ( your email address will not be published)
Enter Your Comment ( no code or urls allowed, text only please )




Is Nikki Haley Running in 2024? John Locke Foundation Guest Editorial, Editorials, Op-Ed & Politics Fact-Checking the “Low-Income People Pay Less State Taxes in NC Than Rich People” Narrative


HbAD0

Latest Op-Ed & Politics

Barr had previously said he would jump off a bridge before supporting Trump
illegal alien "asylum seeker" migrants are a crime wave on both sides of the Atlantic
Decision is a win for election integrity. NC should do the same.
Biden regime intends to force public school compliance as well as colleges

HbAD1

prosecutors appeal acquittal of member of parliament in lower court for posting Bible verse
Biden abuses power to turn statute on its head; womens groups to sue
The Missouri Senate approved a constitutional amendment to ban non-U.S. citizens from voting and also ban ranked-choice voting.
Democrats prosecuting political opponets just like foreign dictrators do
populist / nationalist / sovereigntist right are kingmakers for new government
18 year old boy who thinks he is girl planned to shoot up elementary school in Maryland
Biden assault on democracy continues to build as he ramps up dictatorship

HbAD2

One would think that the former Attorney General would have known better
UNC board committee votes unanimously to end DEI in UNC system
Police in the nation’s capital are not stopping illegal aliens who are driving around without license plates, according to a new report.
Davidaon County student suspended for using correct legal term for those in country illegally
Lawmakers and privacy experts on both sides of the political spectrum are sounding the alarm on a provision in a spy powers reform bill that one senator described as one of the “most terrifying expansions of government surveillance” in history
given to illegals in Mexico before they even get to US: NGOs connected to Mayorkas
committee gets enough valid signatures to force vote on removing Oakland, CA's Soros DA

HbAD3

 
Back to Top